High School

The weight of men in the United States as of 2020 is said to have a mean of 198.26 lbs with a standard deviation of 15.81 lbs. Suppose that we take a sample of size 147. Use your answers from the previous question, round z-scores to two decimal places before using the Standard Normal Table, and round your final answer to four decimal places. What is the probability that our sample will have a mean between 195 lbs and 200 lbs?

Answer :

the probability that the sample will have a mean between 195 lbs and 200 lbs is approximately 0.7369 (rounded to four decimal places).

To find the probability that the sample mean falls between 195 lbs and 200 lbs, we'll first convert these values to z-scores using the formula:

[tex]\[Z = \frac{(X - \mu)}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}}\][/tex]

Where:

- [tex]\(X\)[/tex] is the value of interest (in this case, the sample mean),

- [tex]\(\mu\)[/tex] is the population mean,

- [tex]\(\sigma\)[/tex] is the population standard deviation, and

- [tex]\(n\) i[/tex]s the sample size.

For [tex]\(X = 195\, \text{lbs}\):[/tex]

[tex]\[Z_1 = \frac{(195 - 198.26)}{\frac{15.81}{\sqrt{147}}}\][/tex]

For [tex]\(X = 200\, \text{lbs}\):[/tex]

[tex]\[Z_2 = \frac{(200 - 198.26)}{\frac{15.81}{\sqrt{147}}}\][/tex]

Then, we'll look up the cumulative probabilities corresponding to these z-scores in the standard normal distribution table and calculate the probability that the sample mean falls between these two z-scores.

Let's calculate:

For [tex]\(X = 195\, \text{lbs}\):[/tex]

[tex]\[Z_1 = \frac{(195 - 198.26)}{\frac{15.81}{\sqrt{147}}} \approx -1.2689\][/tex]

For [tex]\(X = 200\, \text{lbs}\):[/tex]

[tex]\[Z_2 = \frac{(200 - 198.26)}{\frac{15.81}{\sqrt{147}}} \approx 0.9947\][/tex]

Now, we look up these z-scores in the standard normal distribution table to find the corresponding cumulative probabilities.

Using the standard normal distribution table:

- [tex]\(P(Z < -1.2689) \approx 0.1020\)[/tex]

- [tex]\(P(Z < 0.9947) \approx 0.8389\)[/tex]

Now, to find the probability that the sample mean falls between these two values, we subtract the cumulative probability of the lower z-score from the cumulative probability of the higher z-score:

[tex]\[P(-1.2689 < Z < 0.9947) = P(Z < 0.9947) - P(Z < -1.2689)\][/tex]

[tex]\[= 0.8389 - 0.1020\][/tex]

[tex]\[= 0.7369\][/tex]

So, the probability that the sample will have a mean between 195 lbs and 200 lbs is approximately 0.7369 (rounded to four decimal places).