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------------------------------------------------ Checking the Conditions for a Test about a Population Proportion



A sociologist claims that [tex]25\%[/tex] of adults would describe themselves as organized. A random sample of 100 adults reveals 42 who describe themselves as organized. Do these data provide convincing evidence that greater than [tex]25\%[/tex] of adults would describe themselves as organized? Use [tex]\alpha=0.01[/tex].



Are the conditions for inference met?



1. **Random:** We have a random sample of [tex]\square[/tex].



2. **10% Condition:** 100 adults < [tex]10\%[/tex] of [tex]\square[/tex].



3. **Large Counts:**

- [tex]n p_0 = \square[/tex]

- [tex]n(1-p_0) = \square[/tex]



These values are both at least [tex]\square[/tex].

Answer :

We are testing whether the data support the claim that more than $25\%$ of adults describe themselves as organized. Before carrying out the test, we must verify that the conditions for inference are met.

1. $$\textbf{Random Condition:}$$
A random sample of 100 adults is provided. This ensures that the sample is representative of the population and that the observations are independent.

2. $$\textbf{10\% Condition:}$$
The sample size must be less than 10% of the entire population. Since 100 adults is very small compared to the total population of adults, this condition is satisfied:
$$100 < 0.10 \times \text{(adult population)}.$$

3. $$\textbf{Large Counts Condition:}$$
We must check that the expected counts of successes and failures under the null hypothesis are at least 10. Under the null hypothesis, the population proportion is
$$p_0 = 0.25.$$
The expected count for successes (those who say they are organized) is:
$$ n \cdot p_0 = 100 \cdot 0.25 = 25, $$
and the expected count for failures is:
$$ n \cdot (1-p_0) = 100 \cdot 0.75 = 75. $$
Both counts are at least 10, fulfilling this condition.

In summary, the conditions for making an inference about a population proportion are:

- Random: The sample of 100 adults is random.
- 10\% Condition: 100 is less than 10% of the adult population.
- Large Counts: $$ n\,p_0 = 25 \quad \text{and} \quad n(1-p_0) = 75, $$ both of which are greater than or equal to 10.

Thus, all conditions for inference are met, and the test can proceed.