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Bottles filled by a certain machine are supposed to contain 12 oz of liquid. In fact, the fill volume is random with a mean of 12.01 oz and a standard deviation of 0.35 oz.

a) What is the probability that the mean volume of a random sample of 144 bottles is less than 12 oz?

b) If the population mean fill volume is increased to 12.03 oz, what is the probability that the mean volume of a sample of size 144 will be less than 12 oz?

Answer :

Answer:

a

[tex]P(X < 12) = 0.3660[/tex]

b

[tex]P(X < 12) = 0.1521[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Considering question a

From the question we are told that

The mean is [tex]\mu = 12.01 \ oz[/tex]

The standard deviation is [tex]\sigma = 0.35 \ oz[/tex]

The standard error of mean is mathematically represented as

[tex]\sigma_{x} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n} }[/tex]

=> [tex]\sigma_{x} = \frac{0.35}{\sqrt{144} }[/tex]

=> [tex]\sigma_{x} = 0.02917[/tex]

Generally the probability that the mean volume of a random sample of 144 bottles is less than 12 oz is mathematically represented as

[tex]P(X < 12) = P(\frac{X - \mu }{\sigma_{x}} < \frac{12 - 12.01 }{0.02917 } )[/tex]

[tex]\frac{X -\mu}{\sigma_{x} } = Z (The \ standardized \ value\ of \ X )[/tex]

[tex]P(X < 12) = P(Z < -0.3425 )[/tex]

From the z table the area under the normal curve to the left corresponding to -0.3425 is

[tex]P(X < 12) = P(Z < -0.3425 ) = 0.3660[/tex]

=> [tex]P(X < 12) = 0.3660[/tex]

Considering question a

From the question we are told that

The mean is [tex]\mu = 12.03 \ oz[/tex]

Generally the probability that the mean volume of a random sample of 144 bottles is less than 12 oz is mathematically represented as

[tex]P(X < 12) = P(\frac{X - \mu }{\sigma_{x}} < \frac{12 - 12.03 }{0.02917 } )[/tex]

[tex]P(X < 12) = P(Z < -1.0274 )[/tex]

From the z table the area under the normal curve to the left corresponding to -1.0274 is

[tex]P(X < 12) = P(Z < -1.0274 ) =0.1521[/tex]

=> [tex]P(X < 12) = 0.1521[/tex]

Final answer:

To find the probability that the mean volume of a sample is less than a certain value, we can use the Central Limit Theorem and the z-score formula. For a sample size of 144 bottles, the probability that the mean volume is less than 12 oz is 4.3%. However, if the population mean fill volume is increased to 12.03 oz, the probability increases to 19.4%.

Explanation:

In order to find the probability that the mean volume of a random sample of 144 bottles is less than 12 oz, we need to use the Central Limit Theorem. The Central Limit Theorem states that the distribution of sample means approaches a normal distribution as the sample size increases. To find the probability, we can use the z-score formula and the standard normal distribution table.

a) The z-score is calculated using the formula z = (x - μ) / (σ / √n), where x is the sample mean, μ is the population mean, σ is the standard deviation, and n is the sample size. Plugging in the values, we get z = (12 - 12.01) / (0.35 / √144) = -1.714. Looking up the z-score in the standard normal distribution table, we find that the probability is approximately 0.043, or 4.3%.

b) If the population mean fill volume is increased to 12.03 oz, we need to recalculate the z-score. Using the same formula, we get z = (12 - 12.03) / (0.35 / √144) = -0.857. Looking up the z-score in the standard normal distribution table, we find that the probability is approximately 0.194, or 19.4%.

Learn more about Probability and Central Limit Theorem here:

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