Answer :
Let's address each sentence one by one to determine the correct word choice.
The thief can't have escaped through this well-locked window. This sentence suggests it's impossible for the escape since the window was well-locked.
Samy can't have been at work this morning. I didn't see him. This suggests the impossibility that Samy was at work because he wasn't seen.
She can't have. Her car keys are still here. The presence of her car keys indicates she could not have left.
It must have been very windy during the night. There are leaves all over the ground. This infers the logical conclusion that the wind caused this.
There is water all over the floor. Someone must have forgotten to turn off the shower. This is the logical explanation for the water being there.
They left two hours ago, so they must have arrived by now. It is not far. Given the distance and time, it is logical to assume arrival.
He might have rung me early this morning. This suggests it is possible he called.
Let's try to find them. They can't have gone very far. This indicates it's unlikely they traveled a long distance.
Maha will wait for her husband. She has forgotten her keys. She should have brought them. This implies it was necessary for her to bring the keys.
When he got married, he moved to Cairo. This indicates a past action that was completed upon marriage.
He used to be thin, but now he isn't. This shows a change in condition over time.
He no longer smokes as he used to do. This indicates smoking was a past habit.
Petrol and oil wasn't used as much as they are today. This suggests a comparison between past and present usage.
Hatim isn't used to newspapers; he likes to get the latest news online instead. This suggests that reading newspapers isn't his habit.
He left his glasses at school yesterday. I'm hoping someone might have found them. This indicates a possibility they were found.
I have seen her car outside. She must have arrived. This indicates a logical conclusion based on the presence of her car.
She can't have caught her bus because she would have been here by now. This indicates she probably missed the bus.