College

According to a recent study, [tex]15 \%[/tex] of adults who take a certain medication experience side effects. To further investigate this finding, a researcher selects a separate random sample of 150 adults, of which 32 experience side effects. The researcher would like to determine if there is convincing statistical evidence that the true proportion of adults who would experience side effects from this medication is greater than 0.15 using a significance level of [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex].

Complete the "State" and "Plan" steps. Which statements are true? Check all that apply.

- [tex]H_0: p=0.15[/tex]
- [tex]H_a: p\ \textgreater \ 0.15[/tex]
- The random condition is met.
- The [tex]10 \%[/tex] condition is met.
- The large counts condition is met.
- The test is a [tex]z[/tex]-test for one proportion.

Answer :

We begin by stating the hypotheses and checking that the conditions for inference are met.

1. \textbf{State: Hypotheses}

- The null hypothesis is
[tex]$$H_0: p = 0.15.$$[/tex]

- Since the researcher wants to determine if the true proportion is greater than 0.15, the alternative hypothesis should be
[tex]$$H_a: p > 0.15.$$[/tex]

Note that the alternative hypothesis provided as [tex]$$H_a: p < 0.15$$[/tex] would be appropriate if one were testing for a decrease, but that is not the case here.

2. \textbf{Plan: Checking Conditions and Selecting the Test}

- Random Condition:
The sample is selected randomly, which satisfies the random condition.

- 10% Condition:
The sample of 150 adults should be less than 10% of the entire population. This condition is met provided the population is large enough, and it ensures the independence of observations.

- Large Counts Condition:
Under the null hypothesis, we compute the expected number of successes and failures.
The expected number of successes is
[tex]$$150 \times 0.15 = 22.5,$$[/tex]
and the expected number of failures is
[tex]$$150 \times 0.85 = 127.5.$$[/tex]
Since both expected counts are greater than 10, the large counts condition is satisfied.

- Type of Test:
Because we are testing a hypothesis about a single proportion, a [tex]$z$[/tex]-test for one proportion is appropriate.

3. \textbf{Conclusion on the Statements}

Based on our analysis:
- The statement [tex]$$H_0: p = 0.15$$[/tex] is true.
- The statement [tex]$$H_a: p < 0.15$$[/tex] is false (since the correct alternative hypothesis is [tex]$$H_a: p > 0.15$$[/tex]).
- The statement "The random condition is met" is true.
- The statement "The [tex]$10\%$[/tex] condition is met" is true.
- The statement "The large counts condition is met" is true.
- The statement "The test is a [tex]$z$[/tex]-test for one proportion" is true.

Thus, the true statements are the first, third, fourth, fifth, and sixth statements.